Jordan Love lit up the box score in his return last week, yet he and the Green Bay Packers were unable to get the win.
This Sunday they head West to take on the Los Angeles Rams, who are dealing with major injuries on offense and have failed to bottle up anyone on defense.
My Packers vs. Rams predictions expect Love & Co. to feast on the Rams’ shoddy stoppers, and I break it down below in my NFL picks for October 6.
Packers vs Rams prediction
My best betPackers -3 (-115 at BetMGM)
My analysis
While the absences of Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua have headlined the Los Angeles Rams’ troubles this season, the bigger issue has been on the other side of the ball. The Rams’ defense has allowed an average of 28.8 points per game — the second-worst mark in the league.
Enter Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers, who put up 465 yards of offense against the Vikings despite Love’s left knee still bothering him.
On the other side of the ball, the Packers sorely missed Jaire Alexander last week, en route to allowing 31 points to the potent Vikings offense. However, Alexander is trending towards playing this week, with the Pro Bowl corner limited in practice on Thursday.
And while Matthew Stafford has been trying his best in the absence of Kupp and Nacua, it just hasn’t been enough. Los Angeles enters Week 5 sitting 22nd in pass offense DVOA while facing an extensive amount of injuries to the offensive line.
Making matters worse is that the Rams lack the talent in the front seven to prevent teams jumping out to a lead from running the ball effectively up and down the field. The Rams rank second-worst in rush DVOA, dead-last in rushing yards allowed per game, and third-worst in rushing first down percentage.
Take Green Bay to cover on the road as field-goal favorites.
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Packers vs Rams same-game parlay
Packers -3Dontayvion Wicks Over 50.5 receiving yardsEmanuel Wilson Over 28.5 rushing yards
+390 at BetMGM
The Rams have been very poor against dynamic deep threats, allowing massive production to the likes of Jameson Williams (5 receptions / 121 yards / 1 TD), Marvin Harrison Jr (4/130/2), and Juaun Jennings (11/173/3).
That bodes well for someone like Dontayvion Wicks, who with the absence of Christian Watson (high ankle) and Romeo Doubs (personal), is set to break out massively.
As mentioned before, this week’s potential game script tees things up for Emanuel Wilson, whose prop numbers (28.5 rushing yards) are much more palatable to lead back Josh Jacobs’ O/U (62.5), given that his rush attempt share in the last two weeks has crept up to 36% compared to Jacobs’ 41%.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Packers vs Rams odds
Packers vs Rams live odds
Packers vs Rams opening odds
- Spread: Green Bay -3.5 | Los Angeles +3.5
- Moneyline: Green Bay -186 | Los Angeles +162
- Over/Under: Over 46 | Under 46
Packers vs Rams spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Packers are 2-2 ATS but have failed to win SU with Jordan Love under center.
- The Rams are 1-3 ATS and are tied for the third-worst cover rate this season.
- Green Bay and Los Angeles have both gone 3-1 to the Over.
